Sturm Graz vs Mattersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
AUS
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RBS
3 - 0
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIE
1 - 0
STR
23%
28%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
WIN
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RIE
1 - 2
STR
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mattersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 2
RBS
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIE
0 - 0
MAT
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AWM
1 - 0
MAT
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 4
AUS
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 0
MAT
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |