Sturm Graz vs Mattersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
STR
4 - 1
SWB
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FCK
2 - 0
STR
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 2
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MAT
2 - 2
STR
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mattersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
4 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAT
4 - 1
AUS
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
FCK
5 - 1
MAT
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MAT
2 - 2
STR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWB
3 - 2
MAT
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |