Sturm Graz vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
TIR
1 - 0
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
STR
0 - 0
LAS
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
RBS
1 - 1
STR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
SER
2 - 2
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
MUD
1 - 1
WIM
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
MUD
0 - 0
DZG
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
LIV
2 - 3
MUD
32%
24%
44%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
MUD
5 - 1
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |