Europa League 1/64
Global 8-6
Sturm Graz vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
FCK
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCK
2 - 2
STR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
STR
3 - 3
MAC
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 1
STR
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 2
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIV
36%
26%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCV
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |