Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 5-4
Sturm Graz vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
SIM
0 - 0
STR
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ILV
4 - 2
STR
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
STR
2 - 0
LIN
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
STR
0 - 1
AUS
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
SWW
2 - 4
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ILV
4 - 2
STR
43%
22%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |