Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
2º
2º
34
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
FAC
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
STR
42%
24%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
RAK
0 - 1
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 3
STR
6%
13%
82%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
DOM
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
WAT
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
ALT
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AWM
0 - 1
HAR
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAS
0 - 0
HAR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |