Sturm Graz vs FC Kärnten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
AUS
3 - 0
STR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
WIE
0 - 4
STR
27%
23%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
STR
1 - 0
RAP
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
SWB
1 - 1
STR
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kärnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
FCK
2 - 1
RIE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
RIE
1 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
FCK
1 - 0
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
FCK
2 - 1
TIR
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCK
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |