Europa League 1/32
Global 2-7
Sturm Graz vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
RBS
2 - 0
STR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STR
0 - 3
AUS
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MON
5 - 1
STR
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
SSW
1 - 1
STR
69%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
WIE
3 - 0
STR
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
MON
6 - 1
AHA
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
MON
4 - 1
ARB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MON
5 - 1
STR
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |