Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 0
STR
27%
26%
48%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 1
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STR
3 - 1
AWM
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WIE
3 - 1
STR
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
KAP
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AUS
0 - 0
MAT
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MET
4 - 1
AUS
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 2
WIE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AWM
0 - 3
AUS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 2
WIN
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |