Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
RBS
1 - 0
STR
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
SWB
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
RAP
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
WAR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
AUS
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 0
RBS
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
AUS
3 - 0
ILL
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SWB
0 - 9
AUS
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |