Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
STR
3 - 2
RIE
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SCA
0 - 1
STR
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
STR
6 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TIR
1 - 1
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
STR
3 - 3
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 0
TIR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
RIE
1 - 2
AUS
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 0
LAS
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 0
SCA
73%
17%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
SWB
1 - 1
AUS
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |