Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1981 |
WIE
3 - 0
STR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
CSK
43%
22%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
STR
3 - 1
SSW
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1981 |
LIN
4 - 0
STR
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
STR
4 - 0
WNE
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
AUS
2 - 0
80%
14%
7%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
AUS
3 - 1
PAR
88%
8%
5%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
WIE
1 - 3
AUS
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUS
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1981 |
AUS
2 - 1
RAP
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |