Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
AUK
1 - 0
STR
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1972 |
STR
3 - 0
SWB
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1972 |
STR
1 - 0
EIS
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1972 |
AWM
2 - 0
STR
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1972 |
STR
1 - 2
RBS
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
AUS
0 - 1
AWM
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
RBS
1 - 2
AUS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
BER
7 - 0
AUS
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1972 |
AUS
2 - 0
LAS
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1972 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUS
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |