Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-0
Sturm Graz vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
LAS
2 - 0
STR
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
TIR
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
APO
0 - 1
STR
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
STR
2 - 1
GRA
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
STR
1 - 0
RAP
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1997 |
APO
4 - 2
ALK
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
APO
4 - 1
ETH
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
APO
0 - 1
STR
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
APO
2 - 1
ANO
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
PAP
3 - 2
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |