Europa League 1/32
Global 2-2
Sturm Graz vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
STR
1 - 2
EIS
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
RAP
5 - 0
STR
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
LIN
2 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
STR
2 - 1
LIN
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
ANT
0 - 0
AND
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1974 |
ANT
0 - 2
BEE
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
LOK
4 - 2
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
CHA
1 - 2
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
ANT
3 - 0
DIE
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |