Sturm Graz II vs SV Villach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
FEL
2 - 2
STU
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
STU
0 - 1
SVW
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
STU
2 - 1
LBN
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 1
STU
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
STU
1 - 5
KAL
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SV Villach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SVV
2 - 2
ALL
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KAL
5 - 2
SVV
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SVV
0 - 1
SKA
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
VOC
0 - 3
SVV
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
SVV
1 - 0
STF
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |