Sturm Graz II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
FEL
2 - 3
STU
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
STU
1 - 0
UNP
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
WEL
2 - 1
STU
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
STU
2 - 0
GRI
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCK
1 - 4
STU
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
STF
2 - 6
WAC
40%
28%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
STF
2 - 0
FEL
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
UNP
2 - 1
STF
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
STF
1 - 2
WEL
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
GRI
0 - 1
STF
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |