Sturm Graz II vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
15º
15º
14
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
BRI
39%
23%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
ADS
27%
21%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
DON
52%
21%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SVT
0 - 2
STU
7%
12%
80%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
RAP
31%
22%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 2
SWB
26%
22%
52%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 4
SWB
16%
20%
65%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SWB
0 - 1
ILL
46%
23%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SWB
1 - 2
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SWB
2 - 3
FCV
17%
19%
65%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |