Sturm Graz II vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
15º
11º
35
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 48 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SKN
0 - 2
STU
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STU
3 - 1
AWM
21%
23%
55%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 2
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
FAC
25%
22%
54%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
VIE
2 - 4
STU
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AWM
1 - 0
RIE
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RIE
3 - 0
KAP
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 1
RIE
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 3
RIE
13%
18%
70%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RIE
2 - 4
SKN
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |