Sturm Graz II vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FEL
3 - 2
STU
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 0
STU
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -3 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
STU
0 - 1
KLA
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
STU
1 - 1
FCB
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
WAC
1 - 0
STU
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
AUS
0 - 1
RIE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
RIE
1 - 3
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
RIE
1 - 0
LAS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 4
RIE
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
RIE
0 - 3
STR
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |