Sturm Graz II vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
STU
2 - 1
GRA
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
LBN
0 - 0
STU
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
2 - 1
STU
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
STU
2 - 1
SCL
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
3 - 0
STU
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -3 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAT
3 - 0
RIE
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 2
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
AUK
0 - 0
RIE
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
WEL
0 - 3
RIE
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 1
RAP
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |