Sturm Graz II vs Kapfenberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
16º
16º
15
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 69 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 52 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
4% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 45 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 38 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 2
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STU
0 - 0
SWB
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
BRI
39%
23%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
ADS
27%
21%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
DON
52%
21%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 1
FAC
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 1
KAP
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 6
KAP
12%
17%
71%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 0
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 1
KAP
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |