Sturm Graz II vs Kapfenberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
16º
15º
35
5º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
STU
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STU
2 - 2
FAC
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 2
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
STU
1 - 4
SKN
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
STU
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
0 - 3
SKN
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SWB
0 - 2
KAP
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 1
FAC
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SVL
3 - 0
KAP
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
DLB
1 - 1
KAP
22%
21%
58%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |