Stumptown vs New Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stumptown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DET
0 - 1
STA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 2
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
BOB
58%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BOB
1 - 1
STA
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
MSF
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BOB
1 - 2
NAM
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 2
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DET
2 - 1
NAM
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CUS
4 - 1
NAM
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 2
MSF
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |