Stumptown vs Michigan Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stumptown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
CUS
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MSF
0 - 0
STA
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
CAC
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
STA
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
MSF
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Michigan Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 2
MSF
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MSF
0 - 0
STA
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAD
2 - 1
MSF
10%
17%
74%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MSF
3 - 4
CUS
35%
23%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
MSF
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |