Stumptown vs Detroit City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
70.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stumptown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CUS
1 - 1
STA
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
LAF
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LAF
2 - 2
STA
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
NAM
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DET
0 - 1
STA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAD
1 - 2
DET
6%
13%
81%
|
46 | 10 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DET
1 - 0
MSF
82%
13%
4%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DET
0 - 0
BOB
85%
10%
4%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 6
DET
7%
14%
79%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DET
1 - 0
LAF
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |