Stumbras vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stumbras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
KZA
0 - 0
STU
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
STU
1 - 1
UUT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 1
STU
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
STU
1 - 2
SUD
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
STU
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ZAL
2 - 1
LIE
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 1
ZAL
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ZAL
1 - 0
KZA
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | +5 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ZAL
0 - 1
UUT
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
ZAL
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +2 |