Strømsgodset II vs Tiller IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
5º
33
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
72.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strømsgodset II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VER
4 - 2
STR
11%
15%
74%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
4 - 4
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BYA
5 - 2
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
SKT
75%
14%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
STA
67%
16%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 1
ORK
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 2
TIL
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
STA
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
ROS
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 0
TIL
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |