Strogino vs Salyut Belgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
11º
9º
17
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 61 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 45 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 16 |
15º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ZVE
0 - 0
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
STR
0 - 4
FKK
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
STR
32%
23%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SAK
2 - 1
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Salyut Belgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
FKO
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 1
SAL
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZVE
0 - 2
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
FKK
46%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |