Strogino vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FRM
1 - 1
STR
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STR
0 - 2
DIN
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 1
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 2
SAK
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
KAL
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 0
ZAN
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FDV
1 - 1
KAL
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 1
KAL
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 1
KHI
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |