Strogino vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
STR
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
STR
3 - 2
SOK
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
FMV
4 - 2
STR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAK
0 - 1
STR
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
KHI
2 - 0
STR
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
KAL
2 - 3
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ZAN
1 - 1
KAL
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
KAL
4 - 1
FKF
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAT
2 - 0
KAL
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
KAL
70%
20%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |