Strogino U16 vs FShM Moskau U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
9º
9º
19
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 0
SAT
35%
21%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
SSZ
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KON
1 - 3
STR
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
DIN
5%
11%
83%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +5 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CSK
3 - 1
STR
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
FShM Moskau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MSK
1 - 3
ROS
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
MSK
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MSK
1 - 5
ZEN
3%
8%
89%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SMO
4 - 2
MSK
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZEN
7 - 0
MSK
94%
5%
1%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | -1 |