Strindheim vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strindheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
STR
6 - 1
BIL
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
TRO
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SKE
0 - 4
STR
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
LOR
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 3
STR
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NAR
2 - 2
GJO
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
NAR
3 - 3
MOI
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROS
3 - 3
NAR
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 1
EID
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 1
NAR
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |