Stresa vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 0
STR
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
13%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LAV
2 - 3
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 5
SAV
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -3 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FEZ
3 - 3
LAV
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LAV
3 - 2
LIG
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 2
FCV
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |