Stresa vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STR
0 - 2
CAS
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
STR
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
STR
2 - 3
BOR
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
STR
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
INV
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
FEZ
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FEZ
5 - 0
APD
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 0
FEZ
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
FEZ
47%
22%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FEZ
0 - 0
LIG
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |