Stresa vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
BUS
3 - 0
STR
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
SES
15%
21%
65%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
STR
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
APD
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 1
STR
81%
12%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 1
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
APD
0 - 1
LEC
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
5 - 0
FEZ
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
FOL
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
LEC
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |