Strathspey Thistle vs Nairn County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
16º
18º
18º
43
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
6 - 0
STR
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
LOS
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
8 - 1
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STR
0 - 7
ROT
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DEV
7 - 0
STR
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 0
LOS
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 2
NAI
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 3
BUC
8%
15%
77%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
3 - 0
BAN
20%
19%
62%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +5 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CLA
0 - 2
NAI
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |