Strathspey Thistle vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+181%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
16º
18º
18º
36
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
INV
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 2
STR
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 1
STR
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
FOR
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +5 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BUC
5 - 0
STR
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
ELG
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CLA
3 - 3
FOR
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
FOR
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
HUN
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |