Strasbourg vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 0
STR
16%
24%
61%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PSG
0 - 0
STR
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
SOC
78%
16%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
GRE
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
LYO
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UJA
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
JUR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 4
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |