Strasbourg vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
STR
1 - 3
NIC
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
FCR
0 - 0
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 1
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
STR
3 - 0
GIR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
NAN
2 - 0
STR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
VAL
3 - 0
NÎM
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VAL
1 - 0
RED
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
ANG
0 - 1
VAL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
VAL
0 - 4
SED
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |