Strasbourg vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
STR
3 - 3
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 0
STR
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
56%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
STR
0 - 0
SOC
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
4 - 0
ANG
45%
25%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
TFC
0 - 1
SPO
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
FCR
1 - 0
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 1
LYO
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |