Strasbourg vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
STR
3 - 0
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
STR
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LHA
0 - 1
STR
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
STL
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SPI
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 5
SPI
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 0
SED
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
SPI
3 - 5
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
SPI
61%
24%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |