Strasbourg vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
14º
9º
40
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 81% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 3
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
ANG
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 3
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
REN
26%
24%
51%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 3
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 3
MAR
29%
25%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
REI
66%
21%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 5
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |