Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Strasbourg vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
STR
3 - 3
VAL
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
REN
1 - 2
STR
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 2
STR
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
STR
2 - 1
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
STR
2 - 1
NIC
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
SPA
2 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |