Strasbourg vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
STR
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
STR
4 - 1
STL
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
IST
0 - 1
STR
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
STR
3 - 0
NIC
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NIC
3 - 1
NIO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NIO
2 - 0
IST
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
STL
1 - 3
NIO
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
NIO
2 - 2
LHA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |