Strasbourg vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
STR
1 - 2
LIL
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
STR
1 - 0
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
GIR
0 - 2
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
STR
0 - 1
LYO
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SOC
1 - 0
CAE
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CAE
2 - 2
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |