Strasbourg vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
NÎM
0 - 0
STR
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
STR
0 - 0
REN
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
FCR
3 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
STR
1 - 2
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCR
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
30%
23%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |