Europa League Last 16
Global 2-4
Strasbourg vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
STR
1 - 2
LMU
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
REN
2 - 1
STR
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
STR
2 - 0
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
STR
0 - 0
LOV
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
35%
25%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
YVE
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
BAS
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |