Strasbourg vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
45%
30%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 2
STR
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STR
2 - 4
VAL
45%
29%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
CLE
0 - 0
STR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
STR
0 - 0
RED
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
REI
3 - 0
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
AUX
0 - 1
LHA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
AUX
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
AUX
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |