Stranraer vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
QOS
5 - 3
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
STR
0 - 2
STI
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 4
STR
7%
14%
80%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 5
STR
25%
24%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
BLA
2 - 4
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MHE
5 - 0
EDI
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
MHE
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 5
MHE
10%
17%
74%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 1
MHE
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
MHE
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |